feat: Skills 全面升級 v3 — 真實開源技能 + 台股覆蓋 + 完整文檔
## Skills 變動(38 個技能)
- 刪除:para-memory-files(不存在於任何真實 repo)
- 新增 20 個來自真實開源 repo 的技能:
tradermonty: trader-memory-core, earnings-calendar, sector-analyst,
uptrend-analyzer, macro-regime-detector, canslim-screener,
vcp-screener, ftd-detector, downtrend-duration-analyzer,
edge-pipeline-orchestrator, trade-hypothesis-ideator,
strategy-pivot-designer, data-quality-checker, edge-candidate-agent
anthropics: doc-coauthoring, internal-comms, xlsx
langalpha: morning-note, thesis-tracker, initiating-coverage
## Agent 技能更新(9 個 Agent)
- finance-researcher: 3 → 5 個技能(+earnings-calendar, morning-note)
- market-structure-researcher: 2 → 5 個技能(+sector-analyst, uptrend-analyzer, macro-regime-detector)
- bullish-researcher: 2 → 6 個技能(+canslim-screener, vcp-screener, ftd-detector, initiating-coverage)
- bearish-researcher: 2 → 3 個技能(+downtrend-duration-analyzer)
- quant-strategist: 3 → 7 個技能(+edge-pipeline-orchestrator, trade-hypothesis-ideator, thesis-tracker, macro-regime-detector)
- quant-engineer: 2 → 4 個技能(+strategy-pivot-designer, data-quality-checker)
- data-analyst: 1 → 3 個技能(+edge-candidate-agent, xlsx)
- reviewer: 1 → 2 個技能(+data-quality-checker)
- secretary: para-memory-files → trader-memory-core + doc-coauthoring + internal-comms
## 文檔新增(3 份)
- docs/skills-inventory.md:四大 repo 完整技能調查(tradermonty 51、OctagonAI 66、langalpha 26、anthropics 17)
- docs/mcp-plan.md:8 個 MCP Server 完整配置方案(台股+美股+總經+加密)
- docs/agent-skill-mapping.md:Agent 技能對應表 v2.0(含台股覆蓋說明)
## 台股覆蓋
- MCP 計畫包含 CasualMarket(23工具)+ twsemcp(22工具)+ Fugle 官方
- morning-note 技能整合台股盤前數據(外資、融資融券、台指期)
- market-environment-analysis 明確涵蓋台股加權指數
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/SKILL.md
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skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/SKILL.md
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---
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name: 交易假設發想器
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description: 生成 1-5 個可偽證的交易假設卡,每張包含實驗設計、否定條件(Kill Criteria)與可選的 strategy.yaml 匯出
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metadata:
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sources:
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- kind: github-file
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repo: tradermonty/claude-trading-skills
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path: skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/SKILL.md
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usage: referenced
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---
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# 交易假設發想器
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將市場觀察轉化為結構化、可測試的交易假設,確保每個策略概念都有明確的驗證條件和失效條件。
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## 假設卡格式
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每張假設卡包含:
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- **假設陳述**:「如果 X 發生,則 Y 將在 Z 時間框架內發生」
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- **可觀察證據**:當前支持假設的數據
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- **實驗設計**:如何測試這個假設
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- **否定條件(Kill Criteria)**:哪些事件會讓假設立即失效
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- **信心度評分**(0-100)
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- **可選匯出**:strategy.yaml(交給回測工程師)
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## 功能
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- 接受任意市場觀察作為輸入
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- 結構化生成 1-5 張假設卡
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- 強制要求每個假設都有 Kill Criteria(防止確認偏誤)
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- 可選匯出 strategy.yaml 格式供回測使用
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## 使用時機
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- 量化策略師在多空辯論後,將收斂觀點轉為可測試假設
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- 配合 `edge-pipeline-orchestrator` 進入完整研究流程
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