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KingClawArmy/skills/ftd-detector/SKILL.md
Chris 3079e1a0ae feat: Skills 全面升級 v3 — 真實開源技能 + 台股覆蓋 + 完整文檔
## Skills 變動(38 個技能)
- 刪除:para-memory-files(不存在於任何真實 repo)
- 新增 20 個來自真實開源 repo 的技能:
  tradermonty: trader-memory-core, earnings-calendar, sector-analyst,
               uptrend-analyzer, macro-regime-detector, canslim-screener,
               vcp-screener, ftd-detector, downtrend-duration-analyzer,
               edge-pipeline-orchestrator, trade-hypothesis-ideator,
               strategy-pivot-designer, data-quality-checker, edge-candidate-agent
  anthropics:  doc-coauthoring, internal-comms, xlsx
  langalpha:   morning-note, thesis-tracker, initiating-coverage

## Agent 技能更新(9 個 Agent)
- finance-researcher: 3 → 5 個技能(+earnings-calendar, morning-note)
- market-structure-researcher: 2 → 5 個技能(+sector-analyst, uptrend-analyzer, macro-regime-detector)
- bullish-researcher: 2 → 6 個技能(+canslim-screener, vcp-screener, ftd-detector, initiating-coverage)
- bearish-researcher: 2 → 3 個技能(+downtrend-duration-analyzer)
- quant-strategist: 3 → 7 個技能(+edge-pipeline-orchestrator, trade-hypothesis-ideator, thesis-tracker, macro-regime-detector)
- quant-engineer: 2 → 4 個技能(+strategy-pivot-designer, data-quality-checker)
- data-analyst: 1 → 3 個技能(+edge-candidate-agent, xlsx)
- reviewer: 1 → 2 個技能(+data-quality-checker)
- secretary: para-memory-files → trader-memory-core + doc-coauthoring + internal-comms

## 文檔新增(3 份)
- docs/skills-inventory.md:四大 repo 完整技能調查(tradermonty 51、OctagonAI 66、langalpha 26、anthropics 17)
- docs/mcp-plan.md:8 個 MCP Server 完整配置方案(台股+美股+總經+加密)
- docs/agent-skill-mapping.md:Agent 技能對應表 v2.0(含台股覆蓋說明)

## 台股覆蓋
- MCP 計畫包含 CasualMarket(23工具)+ twsemcp(22工具)+ Fugle 官方
- morning-note 技能整合台股盤前數據(外資、融資融券、台指期)
- market-environment-analysis 明確涵蓋台股加權指數

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 20:55:25 +00:00

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---
name: 跟進日偵測器
description: 市場底部確認的跟進日Follow-Through Day, FTD偵測採用雙指數S&P 500 + NASDAQ狀態機避免假訊號
metadata:
sources:
- kind: github-file
repo: tradermonty/claude-trading-skills
path: skills/ftd-detector/SKILL.md
usage: referenced
---
# 跟進日偵測器
基於 William O'Neil 的跟進日理論,客觀判斷市場底部是否已形成,為多方研究員提供底部確認訊號。
## 跟進日定義
在市場出現反彈嘗試後Rally Attempt
- 主要指數單日大漲 **≥ 1.7%**
- 成交量**高於前一日**(且最好高於均量)
- 發生在反彈嘗試後的 **第 4 至第 7 天**
- 雙指數SPX + NASDAQ同步確認更可靠
## 狀態機流程
```
市場下跌 → 找底嘗試 → Rally Attempt第1天
→ 等待跟進日第4-7天
→ FTD 確認 → 多頭啟動
→ 或失敗 → 重新找底
```
## 假 FTD 排除條件
- 成交量未達標
- 早期出現第1-3天
- 指數只有一個確認
- 隔天立即反轉
## 需要的 MCP 工具
- `yfinance`SPY/QQQ 歷史日線數據
## 輸出格式
- 當前市場狀態(下跌/找底/Rally Attempt/FTD 確認/多頭)
- FTD 日期與詳細數據(漲幅、成交量比率)
- 信心評分
- 失敗風險提示